The following is a non-binding mediation of a dispute between one Ryan Howard, 1B, and his employer, the World Phucking Champion Philadelphia Phillies:
the terms are as follows: Mr. Howard has foregone an offer of 14 million dollars in hopes of being awarded 18 million dollars to play First Base, smack dingers, get after another world title and possibly a second MVP award; all while producing more runs than all the Taco Bells on the East Coast combined.
We will be comparing Mr. Howard's statistics and salary with contemporary ballplayers both on his own team and all around Major League Baseball. Also, a brief history of Howard's career will be analyzed alongside his past, present, and God-willing, future compensation for said career. And lastly, we will take a look at a few specific contracts paid by the Philadelphia Phillies for the years between 2003 and 2009.
This discussion will not involve questions of why a player needs 18 million dollars to hit a baseball. It is the personal opinion of the Main Man that the league minimum (a little more than $400,000) should be the league maximum. That being said, whether the Phillies pay Mr. Howard 18 million or 18 cents, he would still be playing baseball in multi-billion dollar venue, named after the highest bidder, yet funded by taxpayer dollars, even if the average taxpayer can't afford $10 parking, $7 beers, 3.50 hot dogs, and an average ticket price exceeding 30 dollars. Profits go in the pocket! Sharing only exists in kindergarten. Although MLB team owners do share their profits amongst themselves (it makes collusion a lot easier!) most of them just pocket the money shared among MLB. We are observing the market; not implementing change.
(at least, not until 2016, Great Ape Society 4 Life!, the good fascism)
the comparison:
It has been decided to focus on 10 players throughout MLB:
(seasonal averages per 162 games played) thanx, espn.com
A. Pujols: .334/42HR/128RBI/.425OBP/.624SLG/1.049OPS age:28 avg. salary05-08: 13mil
J, Giambi: .286/35HR/112RBI/.408OBP/.534SLG/.9420PS age: 38 avg salary06-08: 22mil
C. Utley: .298/29HR/108RBI/.375OBP/.526SLG/.901OPS age 30 salary08: 7.7mil
A. Rodriquez: .306/44HR/127RBI/.389OBP/.578SLG/.967OPS age:33 avg salary01-10: 25mil
M. Texeiria: .290/36HR/121RBI/.378OBP/.541SLG/.919OPS age: 28 avg. salary 09-17: 23mil
D. Jeter: .316/17HR/81RBI/.387OBP/.458SLG/.845OPS age: 34 avg. salary 05-10: 21mil
J. Thome: .279/41HR/112RBI/.406OBP/.560SLG/.966OPS age: 38 avg salary 03-08: 14.5mil
J. Morneau: .281/29HR/116RBI/.348OBP/.498SLG/.846OPS age: 27 salary08: 8.4mil
K. Youkillis: .289/19HR/92RBI/.385OBP/.472SLG/.857OPS age: 29 avg. salary09-12: 11mil
D. Ortiz: .287/36HR/121RBI/.382OBP/.554SLG/.946OPS age:33 salary07-08: 13.5 mil
R. Howard: .279/50HR/141RBI/.380OBP/.590SLG/.970OPS age:29 salary08: 10mil
in order to judge Mr. Howard's value to the Phillies and around major league baseball.
The assumption has been taken that the above players are being paid, all rather generously,to win ballgames. To win games, a team must score more runs than the other team. So this discussion will focus heavily on RBIs, HR, and OPS. Fielding, strkeouts, and batting avg. will be weighed, but not as heavily.
The idea being that the best ballplayers ever still make outs 7 times out of 10 so only a 60 point difference in batting avg. is significant. (that is to say 3 of 10 beats the shit outta 2 of 10) Basically, everybody makes twice as many outs as hits so we are only really going to discuss hits!
By that logic, strikeouts are somewhat irrelevant in that there is literally no difference between a strikeout and long drive caught at the warning track. (unless there is a runner on third with less than 2 outs) As far as fielding goes, it is an utter certainty that there are better fielders than Mr. Howard, and sure sometimes he airmails a throw into left field, and sometimes he seems more surprised that a ball's been hit his way than i would be if the ball came rolling at me listening to the game on the radio in Wilmington, DE. But come on, we're talking about swinging for the fences and getting after it; not setting one's feet and making accurate throws. Suffice to say that I have watched every Phillies game since returning from NYC in 2003 and I can not think of a handful of games affected by Howard's ill-fielding whereas I can not count the number of times his bat has just about single-handedly won ballgames.
The key comparisons to Howard are Utley, Howard's teammmate, Arod, the highest paid player in MLB (and the personification of fraudulence!) Thome, whom Howard replaced in Philadelphia, Tex, who just signed an 8 year 184 million dollar contract, and finally Pujols, Howard's oft-rival for MVP.
A comparison with Pujols shows that Howard only really has him beat at HRs and RBIs while Pujols SLG, AVG., and OPS is higher (20 more doubles per season on avg.) and most will concede that Pujols is a decidedly better fielder. From this, the Phillies offer seems generous as they have offered to pay Mr. Howard more money than arguably the best player in the game. The problem with this argument is that Pujols is not undergoing arbitration with the St. Louis Cardinals because the Cardinals were smart enough to sign Pujols to a long-term contract which looks rather inexpensive when compared to the likes of Jeter, Arod, Giambi.
Speaking of long-term contracts, Mark Texeiria just recently signed a huge one with the New York Yankees. This works in the favor of the Phillies in that the Yankees seem like the only team that would agree to pay the monumental price that Howard, his agent Casey Close, and Howard's father are asking. The fewer teams that Howard could conceivably play for when his arbitration runs out (in 2011) adds leverage to the Phillies and puts pressure on Howard to accept terms closer to what the Phillies want.
Conversely, it is not outside the realm of possibility that Howard may win not only this arbitration, but also arbitration in the years 2010 and 2011 if his numbers stay the same. One can also imagine Howard's numbers becoming even more robust. In his MVP season of 2006, his batting avg. was .312. (60 points higher than his 2008 avg.) This added nearly 30 more hits than what his avg. usually is. And as most of us know, Howard usually turns one of every four hits into HRs. So with numbers that would then be immeasurable even when compared to even the very best players in baseball; it is easy to envision Mr. Howard rejecting any Phillies offer in favor of being awarded whatever the Phillies offer plus about 6million: 10mil in 08, 18mil in 09, 24mil, in 2010, and finally 30 million dollars in 2011?!?!?!?!! Seems rather foolish in retrospect, that the Phillies awarded Chase Utley what seemed at the time to be a blank check contract (8 years 80mil...i think?) while not rewarding Ryan Howard for his MVP season with a contract that would pay him handsomely until he was age 34 or 35.
Something comparable to Utley's contract yet nowhere near the suspected 80 plus million dollars that the Phillies probably will have to pay to keep Howard through his arbitration years which will end when he is only 32 years old.
(and also it could have saved the Main Man the nine hours it took to type up all this jazz with two paragraphs still to go...)
And now the crux of the argument; a comparison with Jim Thome, highlighting the phoolish Philadelphia Phillies and their less-than-wise contracts. It is widely held among many Phillies fans that Howard will not finish out not his career in Philadelphia, and maybe not even his arbitration years. Most think that the Phillies will maximize Howard's value and sell high; netting them probably a couple pitchers and also a few prospects. This is a team that since 2003 has shelled out upwards of 66 million dollars for the services of (combined record of 81-77) Kevin Millwood, Eric Milton, Jon Lieber, Adam Eaton (getting paid 8 million a year to go 0-4 with a 7.04 ERA in A ball), and Freddy Garcia (traded away Gavin Floyd, his 4mil signing bonus and 17-8 2008 record, along with 10 million dollars owed to Garcia before a physical even when rumors of injury persisted and percipitated a season-ending injury later; 10 million dollars for ONE PHUCKING WIN!, 9,000 dolars a pitch, not bad biz if you can get it.)
So by all means, have nothing but faith that the Front Office will get rid of Howard for what they think is equal value. It worked getting rid of Thome right? Well, we did get Aaron Rowand out of the deal but to this day we are still paying Thome 3 million dollars in 09 (to hit HRs for the Chicago White Sox). Not to mention that he was the third highest paid player on the Phillies last year, even thought he hasn't sported the red pinstripes since '05. ESPN.com only lists the salaries of players currently on a team's roster so it is dificult to determine just how much of the 45 million dollars the Phillies have had to pay Thome just so they could replace him with Howard, while still having Howard's quest for fair market compensation into an utter debacle.
So finally, Ryan Howard wins this dispute! Enjoy your 18 million dollars, sir. Since the Phillies replaced Thome with Howard then it's only fair they should pay him similar to what they paid, and are still paying Thome. How is it possible that Mr. Howard is the fastest player ever in MLB history to hit 150 homeruns yet trails Albert Pujols (who is two months younger than Howard) by 142 HRs? Probably because Ryan Howard hit 111 HRs in the minors while watching the Phillies overpay Thome from 03-05 (to the tune of 37 million dollars!).
So when Ryan Howard retires with around 545 HRs just think of those 111 other homers along with the fact that this man won a Rookie of the Year award and an MVP while being paid 1.2 million dollars over two seasons and know that you may have cost Ryan Howard a spot in the Hall of Fame.
Please sign him until the year 2013 or beyond. This will be rather expensive.(maybe exceeding 150 million dollars) Make the contract bigger in the first years than the last with incentives for limiting strikeouts and batting avg. improvement. And Mr. Howard, if you are given this deal or a similar one, then take it. If your dad (who from all i read about this situation is the one driving Howard's contract demands)or your agent (casey close) tell you otherwise, then maybe it's time you told them what time it is: time to be reasonable!
Hopefully now you can reasonably answer these questions:
if your dad is making your salary demands, and every year you are awarded a contract by a third-party arbiter rather than having one negotiated for you by your agent; then what the Phuck is your agent actually doing? ...other than collecting his 20% and keeping you from complete job security, all while gambling against the fact that without guaranteed money each year could be your last...? Please know that 20% of 18 million dollars is 3.6 million. Is all this bullcrap really worth 400,00 bucks to you?
-the Main Man!